75% of Ukrainians support joining the EU, 63% support joining NATO – Razumkov Center survey
If a referendum on Ukraine's accession to the European Union were held in the near future, 75% of all respondents, or 88% of those planning to participate in such a referendum, would vote for joining this organization (11% and 7% would vote against, respectively).
This is evidenced by the results of a sociological survey conducted by the sociological service of the Razumkov Center from November 11-18 as part of the project "Ukraine: Socio-Political Challenges of the Transition from War to Peace and Post-War Recovery," supported by the Representation of the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Ukraine, and presented at a press conference at the Interfax-Ukraine agency on Wednesday.
"Before the start of the full-scale war, in November-December 2021, 56% of all respondents, or 78% of those planning to participate in a referendum, intended to vote for EU membership (26% and 18% would have voted against, respectively). According to the latest survey, 88% of all residents of the Western region, 79% of residents of the Eastern, 70% of the Central, and 58% of residents of the South of the country would vote for joining the EU. The share of those who would vote against is 2%, 10%, 15%, and 22%, respectively," the sociological study states.
It is noted that the younger the respondents, the more often they intend to vote for EU membership—the share of such individuals rises from 68% in the oldest group (60 and older) to 82% among those under 30.
Among those who trust the Ukrainian authorities, 79% intend to vote for EU membership (with 9.5% against), while among those who do not trust them, the figures are 74% and 14%, respectively.
Among those who speak predominantly Ukrainian at home, 76% intend to vote for EU membership (with 10% against), while among those who predominantly speak Russian, the figures are 69.5% and 17.5%, respectively.
"If a referendum on Ukraine's accession to NATO were held in the near future, 63% of all respondents, or 79% of those planning to participate in such a referendum, would vote for joining this organization (21% and 14.5% would vote against, respectively). Before the start of the full-scale war, in November-December 2021, 48% of all respondents, or 70% of those planning to participate in a referendum, intended to vote for joining NATO (33% and 24.5% would have voted against, respectively)," the Center notes.
Regionally, 82% of all residents in the Western region, 65% in the Eastern, and 56% in the Central region would vote for joining NATO, but only 39% of residents in the South of the country would do so. The share of those who would vote against is 6.5%, 19%, 27%, and 36.5%, respectively.
The younger the respondents, the more often they intend to vote for NATO membership—the share of such individuals rises from 56% in the oldest group (60 and older) to 70% among those under 30.
Among those who trust the Ukrainian authorities, 70% intend to vote for NATO accession (with 16% against), while among those who do not trust them, the figures are 59% and 25%, respectively.
Among those who speak predominantly Ukrainian at home, 66% intend to vote for NATO accession (with 19% against), while among those who predominantly speak Russian, the figures are 58.5% and 25%.
Among those who will vote for joining the EU, 80% are ready to vote for joining NATO, compared to 9.5% of those who oppose EU membership.
The survey was conducted in all government-controlled regions of Ukraine among 2,008 respondents aged 18 and older using the face-to-face method with a stratified multi-stage sample, utilizing random selection in the early stages and a quota method for selecting respondents in the final stage. The structure of the sample reproduces the demographic structure of the adult population of the territories where the survey was conducted, as of the beginning of 2022, by age, gender, and type of settlement. The theoretical sampling error does not exceed 2.3%. Additional systematic deviations of the sample may be caused by the consequences of the aggression of Russia, in particular, the forced evacuation of citizens.
